The major verdict in the US on November 6 surprised many pollsters, who had anticipated a neck-and-neck race to the finish. Despite predictions of a surge in support for Harris, the Democrat momentum faltered throughout the day, ultimately crumbling as Trump’s Republicans maintained a steady lead.
Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, going against forecasts that projected a close contest. Trump’s victory was largely attributed to his focus on economic discontent, immigration concerns, and cultural divides.
Economic Discontent
An analysis of county-level data revealed that wage growth had lagged behind inflation across much of the country, amplifying voter frustration with the economic situation. While some economic indicators appeared positive, nearly 75% of Americans believed the country was on the wrong track. Trump’s promises to revitalize manufacturing and introduce tax cuts resonated with voters looking for economic relief.
Immigration as a Key Issue
Immigration emerged as a decisive issue in this election. Reports showed that immigration concerns held five times more significance for voters in 2024 compared to 2020. Trump’s firm stance, which included pledges for mass deportations, galvanized support among various demographics, with CNN noting a notable increase in support from Latino men compared to 2020.
The Gender Divide
Exit polls revealed a strong gender divide: Trump won male voters by a 10-point margin, although he trailed among women by the same margin. Analysts suggested that his direct style appealed to men who sought to “reassert their dominance.”
Pushback on “Wokeness”
Trump benefited from strong turnout among white, Christian, and evangelical voters, who resonated with his campaign’s focus on cultural issues such as transgender rights. Many saw this as a broader shift to the right, driven by growing resistance to “wokeness” and progressive social values.
Harris’s Challenges
In contrast, Kamala Harris struggled to rally enthusiasm. Analysts attributed this to perceived shortcomings in her charisma and a lingering sentiment among some voters that a female leader was unsuitable. Ultimately, Trump’s ability to channel economic and cultural anxieties gave him the edge, leading to a decisive win.
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