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Published: July 29, 2026 | By: Buster Olney, ESPN Senior Writer
Imagine you’re playing a video game where you can swap players with other teams one last time before the playoffs. That’s the MLB trade deadline!
KEY CONCEPT: "Rental players" = Stars on expiring contracts who might leave after the season. Teams trade prospects (young minor leaguers) to get them for a playoff push.
The Problem: Their pitching plan fell apart completely:
Who They Could Target: Almost any available starter
IMPORTANT: The Cubs have a great lineup and home-field advantage, but zero chance in October without more pitching.
The Problem:
Potential Catcher Targets:
FUN FACT: White Sox went from 121 losses (2024) to World Series contenders — one of baseball’s wildest turnarounds!
The Situation: Atlanta wants Tarik Skubal and/or Casey Mize from Detroit.
The Concern: History of pitcher injuries:
Dream Target: Tarik Skubal — would fit perfectly with their existing pitching depth
Starting Pitching:
Bullpen: Brad Keller injury thinned relief corps — rival execs expect them to add a reliever too
Last Year: Best record in baseball, but ran out of pitching in playoffs (manager admitted it)
This Year:
Options: Freddy Peralta reunion? Tarik Skubal? Robbie Ray?
The Turnaround: From GM-on-hot-seat to dangerous contender with real rotation and offense
The Hole: Bullpen ranks 24th in ERA — erratic and unreliable
Aggressive Buyers: Rival exec says "They’re going to be aggressive" — targeting Mason Miller or Adrian Morejon
Lineup Decimated: Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Cody Bellinger all injured — looks like spring training roster
#1 Need: Elite reliever (power arm for October matchups)
Also Want: Right-handed hitter
The Mystery: Have Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, Josh Naylor — but struggling badly
Urgent Need: Right-handed hitter to "defibrillate" the offense
Original Plan: Right-handed hitter
New Reality: Offense floundering — considering full range of upgrades
Constraint: Cannot take on salary at deadline
Need: Bullpen depth to defend AL West lead
Strategy: Get creative with trade structures
Already Done: Acquired Curtis Mead (righty-hitting infielder) in first big deal
Still Want: Shortstop — shockingly open to moving past Marcelo Mayer (once "untouchable" future SS)
Targets Being Discussed:
| Team | Primary Need | Secondary Need | Urgency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | Starting Pitcher (ANY) | — | CRITICAL |
| White Sox | Catcher | 5th Starter | HIGH |
| Yankees | Elite Reliever | Righty Bat | HIGH |
| Braves | Top Starter (Skubal/Mize) | — | MEDIUM |
| Rays | Rotation Depth | — | MEDIUM |
| Phillies | Veteran Starter | Reliever | MEDIUM |
| Brewers | Rotation Help | — | MEDIUM |
| Pirates | Bullpen Ace | — | MEDIUM |
| Mariners | Righty Hitter | — | HIGH |
| Guardians | Righty Hitter / Any Upgrade | — | MEDIUM |
| Rangers | Relief Depth (no $ added) | — | LOWER |
| Red Sox | Shortstop | — | MEDIUM |
Starting Pitchers:
Relievers:
Hitters:
By 6:00 PM ET Monday, expect:
- Cubs to make multiple pitching moves (desperation = action)
- Yankees to land a reliever (Miller/Morejon or next best)
- Pirates to surprise with aggressive bullpen upgrade
- Mariners to either add a bat or accept lost season
- Skubal/Mize domino to fall — triggering cascade of other deals
- Red Sox to resolve shortstop situation (Mayer stay or go?)
Remember: The best trades often involve names not in rumors. The "mystery team" always emerges!
A: Prospects are young players (usually in minor leagues) with high potential. Contending teams trade them to get established stars right now for a playoff run. It’s borrowing from the future to win today.
A: A star player whose contract expires after this season. The trading team gets them for ~2 months + playoffs. High risk (they leave), high reward (championship).
A: They’re likely near the luxury tax threshold — a spending limit where teams pay penalties. Adding salary could cost millions in taxes, so they need "salary-neutral" trades (send out $ to take in $).
A: When a team cuts a player from the 40-man roster. They have 7 days to trade, release, or send to minors (if player clears waivers). Taillon getting DFA’d = Cubs ate his salary to move on.
A: Before free agency (usually 6+ years MLB service), teams control salaries via arbitration (years 3-6) or pre-arb (years 0-3). Casey Mize and Tarik Skubal have years of control left — making them MORE valuable than rentals.
Final Thought: The trade deadline is baseball’s version of Black Friday — chaotic, emotional, and sometimes franchise-defining. By Tuesday morning, the World Series puzzle will look very different. Enjoy the chaos!