Poll findings
According to the poll conducted by ABC News/Ipsos from August 23-27, 81% of Americans say they are prepared to accept the election results regardless of the outcome.In comparison, 68% believe Kamala Harris will accept the results, while only 29% feel the same about Trump.
Support for accepting the election results varies significantly by political affiliation. Nearly all of Harris’ supporters (92%) are ready to accept the outcome, contrasted with 76% of Trump’s supporters. Additionally, 21% of Trump’s backers—translating to about 8% of all adults — are unwilling to accept the election results.
Confidence in election integrity
Confidence in the accuracy of the election count is also split. One-third of Americans (34%) express doubts about whether votes will be counted accurately, a figure unchanged since 2022. About 65% are confident in the vote count, with only 32% being very confident.
This skepticism extends to beliefs about the legitimacy of the 2020 presidential election. Thirty-four percent of Americans think Joe Biden did not win legitimately, a figure consistent since his inauguration. Views on election integrity and acceptance of the 2024 results are closely linked. Among those confident in vote accuracy, 92% are prepared to accept this year’s results, compared to 61% of those who lack confidence in the count.
Partisan and ideological divides
Partisan differences are evident in the survey. While 90% of Democrats express confidence in the vote count and 96% believe Biden was legitimately elected, only 48% of Republicans share this confidence, with just 30% acknowledging Biden’s legitimacy. Independents are somewhat in the middle, with 64% confident in the vote count and 66% believing Biden’s win was legitimate.
Ideology also plays a role. Eighty percent or more of liberals, moderates, and somewhat conservatives are prepared to accept the election results. However, only 64% of very conservatives feel the same. Confidence in vote accuracy is lowest among very conservatives (38%) and highest among liberals (89%).
Methodology
The poll, conducted online, surveyed 2,496 adults. The sample reflects partisan divisions of 29% Democrats, 29% Republicans, and 30% independents, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
This survey underscores the polarized nature of American politics as the 2024 election approaches, highlighting varying levels of acceptance and confidence across the political spectrum.
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