With 10 days left for the election 2024, the New York Times and Sienna College released their final poll in which vice president Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump are locked in a dead heat for the popular vote — 48 per cent to 48 per cent. On betting platform Polymarket, Trump is much ahead of Harris but in national polls nobody is able to edge past the other though Kamala Harris was initially leading — marginally.
Here are the top findings of the NYT/Sienna College final poll
Kamala Harris’ polling dropped as the voting day is approaching.Early October, she had a slight lead over Donald Trump — 49 per cent to 46 per cent.
The Harris versus Trump contest is equally close on the seven battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Trump may score big on the issue of immigration, but the abortion issue may work in favor of Kamala Harris. On the issue of economy too, Harris is narrowing the gap with Donald Trump — as in more respondents now rely on Harris on the economy issue than found in the earlier polls.
The poll found that the 9 per cent of Americans who said they already had voted leaned heavily toward Harris — 59 per cent to 40 per cent. This is a tradition that Democrats generally win in early voting and mail voting.
Harris has an edge over Trump in female votes: Harris leads Trump among women by 54 per cent to 42 per cent while Trump leads Harris among men by 55 per cent to 41 per cent.
The poll found that voters are as divided over congressional races as they are in the presidential race.
What other polls, pollsters predicted
Most of the polls have declared this as the closest fight in the history. Pollsters too are undecided with Nate Silver relying on his gut feeling that Trump would win, while Democratic strategist James Carville said he’s certain that Kamala Harris would win.
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