Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are virtually tied in key battleground states, according to a YouGov poll conducted for The Times and SAY24. The survey, covering August 23 to September 3, highlighted a close race with Harris leading in four swing states while Trump edged ahead in three, all within the margin of error, reported The Hill.
Harris holds slim leads in four states
Harris held a slight edge in Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.The poll showed her leading by five points in Michigan (48% to 43%), three points in both Nevada (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (47% to 44%). In Pennsylvania, she led by just one point (46% to 45%) among registered voters.
Trump ahead in key southern states
Trump, on the other hand, led in Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. His leads were narrow, with a two-point advantage in both Arizona (47% to 45%) and Georgia (47% to 45%). In North Carolina, he was slightly ahead with 47% support compared to Harris’s 46%.
Experts weighed in
Carl Bialik, Vice President of Data Science at YouGov, commented, “Even compared to March, Harris was running ahead or even in each state. She was performing on par with or better than Biden’s 2020 results in these battlegrounds.” He added, “If these leads held and the rest of the states voted similarly to 2020, Harris would have won the electoral college.”
Recent polls added complexity
CNN’s recent polling showed no decisive lead in Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, with Harris ahead by 50% to 44% in Wisconsin and 48% to 43% in Michigan. Conversely, Trump has a five-point lead in Arizona (49% to 44%).
Polling aggregates and betting insights
According to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris led Trump by 4 percentage points (49.7% to 45.7%) in aggregate polls. A USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll from August 25-28 also showed Harris ahead by 48% to 43%, within the margin of error.
Despite these fluctuations, betting markets—which are not legally regulated in the U.S.—reflected ongoing uncertainty, with Harris slightly ahead post-Democratic National Convention.
Survey details
The YouGov poll surveyed 900 respondents in Arizona and Wisconsin, 800 in Nevada, and 1,000 in the remaining states, with a margin of error between 3 and 5 percent.
As the election landscape continued to shift, these battleground states remained pivotal, with both candidates fighting hard for every vote.
Harris holds slim leads in four states
Harris held a slight edge in Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.The poll showed her leading by five points in Michigan (48% to 43%), three points in both Nevada (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (47% to 44%). In Pennsylvania, she led by just one point (46% to 45%) among registered voters.
Trump ahead in key southern states
Trump, on the other hand, led in Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina. His leads were narrow, with a two-point advantage in both Arizona (47% to 45%) and Georgia (47% to 45%). In North Carolina, he was slightly ahead with 47% support compared to Harris’s 46%.
Experts weighed in
Carl Bialik, Vice President of Data Science at YouGov, commented, “Even compared to March, Harris was running ahead or even in each state. She was performing on par with or better than Biden’s 2020 results in these battlegrounds.” He added, “If these leads held and the rest of the states voted similarly to 2020, Harris would have won the electoral college.”
Recent polls added complexity
CNN’s recent polling showed no decisive lead in Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, with Harris ahead by 50% to 44% in Wisconsin and 48% to 43% in Michigan. Conversely, Trump has a five-point lead in Arizona (49% to 44%).
Polling aggregates and betting insights
According to The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Harris led Trump by 4 percentage points (49.7% to 45.7%) in aggregate polls. A USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll from August 25-28 also showed Harris ahead by 48% to 43%, within the margin of error.
Despite these fluctuations, betting markets—which are not legally regulated in the U.S.—reflected ongoing uncertainty, with Harris slightly ahead post-Democratic National Convention.
Survey details
The YouGov poll surveyed 900 respondents in Arizona and Wisconsin, 800 in Nevada, and 1,000 in the remaining states, with a margin of error between 3 and 5 percent.
As the election landscape continued to shift, these battleground states remained pivotal, with both candidates fighting hard for every vote.
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