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British Open Rd 4: Smart Bets on Fleetwood, Kim & Aberg (How to Play Them)

British Open Rd 4: Smart Bets on Fleetwood, Kim & Aberg (How to Play Them)

British Open Final Round: Easy Live Bets for Sunday

The final round of the British Open will tee off on Sunday morning. If your pre-tournament bets are already cooked or decided (like mine are), don’t worry — we can still place a few live bets for Sunday.

Live bets are wagers you make while the event is happening or right before a round starts, instead of before the whole tournament.

Let’s dive into my three favorite bets for final round action.

British Open Round 4 Best Bets

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Here are the three picks:

  • Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +200 vs. Tommy Fleetwood
  • Si Woo Kim Round Score UNDER 69.5 (-114)
  • Ludvig Aberg to Win +1475

Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +200 vs. Tommy Fleetwood

I apologize to Tommy Fleetwood fans, but I’ve watched him golf enough to know how Sunday is going to go. He has a history of melting in big moments, and now he’s in contention at a major that’s being hosted at his home course. Unless he finally figures out how to beat the mental aspect of the game in the biggest spot, I expect nothing but average golf from him in this round.

That’s why I’m going to bet on his playing partner, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, to beat him in a 2-ball bet.

2-ball bet: A bet on which of two golfers plays better in the same round.

Neergaard-Petersen has gained +2.63 strokes on the field from tee to green this week, which is better than Fleetwood’s mark of +1.10.

  • If you’d rather bet against Fleetwood in a different way, you can take the OVER on his round score of 68.5 at -142.

Si Woo Kim Round Score UNDER 69.5 (-114)

Si Woo Kim is flying under the radar in the final round. He has been having the best statistical season of his career and has been near the top of any and all ball-striking stats you can find. His downfall has been his putting. So far this week, he has gained +1.25 strokes per round with his putting. That makes him a dangerous golfer, two strokes off the lead heading into the final round.

I don’t know if he’s going to win, but he’s going to post a decent score. We only need him to shoot -1 (one under par) for this bet to cash.

Ludvig Aberg to Win +1475

In my live bet article, I broke down why I’m betting on Ludvig Aberg to win the British Open tomorrow:

Ludvig Aberg has been flying under the radar in this tournament, but he’ll enter the final round just four strokes off the lead, and two strokes off second-place. For someone to catch and surpass Burns, they’re going to need some high-octane firepower, and that’s exactly what Aberg has.

He has had a strong tournament so far, gaining strokes in all four major areas, including gaining +2.52 strokes on the field from tee to green on Saturday, which was one of the highest marks amongst all golfers.

There’s also no golfer ahead of Aberg that has any significant experience in a big spot on Sunday at a major tournament. Burns has faltered in this spot in the past, Si Woo Kim has rarely had success at majors, and Fox, Kim, and Herbert are going to be in over their heads.

Meanwhile, Aberg has a runner-up finish at the Masters under his belt, and he finished T4 at this year’s PGA Championship. If he comes out firing, this week’s tournament makes a lot of sense for it to result in Aberg’s first career major victory.


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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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You can check out all of Iain’s bets here!

Summary

  • The British Open final round is Sunday morning.
  • Even if your early bets are done, you can still make live bets.
  • Top 3 picks: Neergaard-Petersen vs. Fleetwood, Si Woo Kim UNDER 69.5, and Ludvig Aberg to win.
  • Odds come from DraftKings and can change anytime.

FAQ

What is a live bet?
A live bet is a wager placed during or right before a round, not before the tournament starts.

What does “UNDER 69.5” mean for Si Woo Kim?
It means we bet his round score will be 69 or lower (so 69, 68, etc.).

What is a 2-ball bet?
It’s a bet on which of two matched golfers scores better in the same round.

Why bet on Aberg to win?
He is close to the lead, playing great, and has more big-moment experience than others ahead of him.

Where do these odds come from?
They are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change over time.

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