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Tennessee Primaries Live: Winners, Losers & Shock Upsets

Tennessee Primaries Live: Winners, Losers & Shock Upsets

Tennessee Primary Election 2026: Everything You Need to Know (Explained Simply)

What’s Happening on Thursday?

Tennessee is holding its state primary elections on Thursday. Think of a primary like a "pre-game" where each political party picks their best player to compete in the real championship (the general election) this November.

Important Point: Even though the article mentions dates in 2025, this election is actually happening Thursday, August 6, 2026 — just 89 days before the midterm elections on November 3, 2026.


The Big Races to Watch

Governor’s Race (Republican Primary)

Tennessee’s current governor, Bill Lee, can’t run again because of term limits. Three main Republicans want the job:

Candidate Current Job Key Details
Marsha Blackburn U.S. Senator (Senior) Won Senate reelection in 2024; started governor campaign August 2025
John Rose U.S. Representative (4 terms) Started campaign March 2025; loaned his campaign $13 million
Monty Fritts State Representative Less known nationally; running as a conservative alternative

Why this matters: Tennessee hasn’t elected a Democratic governor in 20 years. Whoever wins the Republican primary will likely become the next governor.

Fun Fact: President Trump supported both Blackburn and Rose in past races, but hasn’t endorsed anyone in this primary.

Governor’s Race (Democratic Primary)

Five Democrats are running, including Jerri Green (Memphis City Councilwoman). The winner faces an uphill battle in November.


The Memphis Congressional Map Shake-Up

This is a huge story. Republican state lawmakers redrew congressional maps in May 2026, splitting heavily Democratic Memphis into three Republican-leaning districts.

What changed:

  • Old 9th District: Democrat Steve Cohen won with ~71% (Kamala Harris territory)
  • New 9th District: Republican Donald Trump won with ~60%
  • Result: Cohen (20-year incumbent) retired instead of running in the new district

Democrats Running in New 9th District:

  1. Justin Pearson — State Representative, famously expelled in 2023 for gun control protest (won seat back)
  2. London Lamar — State Senator
  3. Jim Torino — Former healthcare/nonprofit executive

Republicans Running in New 9th District:

  1. Brent Taylor — State Senator (Trump endorsed, raised most money)
  2. Todd Warner — State Representative
  3. Jeremy Thompson — Retired Army sergeant, volunteer firefighter
  4. Charlotte Bergmann — Conservative activist

U.S. Senate Race

  • Republican: Bill Hagerty (Junior Senator) — unopposed in primary
  • Democratic: Five candidates challenging him
  • History: Last Democrat to win a Tennessee Senate seat? Al Gore in 1990

State Legislature

  • 16 of 33 State Senate seats up for grabs
  • All 99 State House seats up for election
  • Republicans hold supermajorities in both chambers

How Voting Works in Tennessee (ELI5 Version)

When Do Polls Close?

8:00 PM Eastern Time — even though Tennessee spans two time zones, everyone closes at the same moment.

Who Can Vote?

Tennessee doesn’t register voters by party. Normally this means "open primaries" (anyone picks any party’s ballot). But a 2023 law added confusing signs at polling places saying you must be a "bona fide member" or "declare allegiance" to a party. No one has defined what that actually means yet.

How Many Voters?

  • 4.7 million registered voters (as of June 1, 2026)
  • Recent primary turnout:
    • 2024 Senate primary: ~411K Republican, ~205K Democratic
    • 2022 Governor primary: ~494K Republican, ~258K Democratic

Early Voting is HUGE

  • ~55% of primary votes cast early/by mail in recent elections
  • Already cast for Thursday: ~397K Republican ballots, ~225K Democratic ballots

Election Night: What to Expect

Vote Counting Timeline

Time What Happens
8:02 PM ET First results typically appear (2 mins after polls close)
Early evening Big dump of early/mail votes (most counties release these first)
~11:20 PM ET >99.9% of votes usually counted (based on 2024 primary)

How AP Decides Winners

The Associated Press doesn’t guess. They only declare a winner when:

  1. Math makes a comeback impossible for trailing candidates, OR
  2. Clear concession/victory statements happen (but they’ll note they haven’t officially called it)

Recounts? Not Automatic

  • No automatic recounts in Tennessee
  • Candidates can’t request recounts — only courts can order them via legal challenges
  • AP may still call a race if the lead is too big for a recount to change

Key Counties: The "Big Three"

In statewide races, candidates usually win big in ONE of these, lose narrowly in the other two, and sweep rural areas:

County Major City 2018 Gov Primary 2020 Senate Primary 2018/2024 Senate Primaries
Shelby Memphis Split Hagerty won big Blackburn won both
Davidson Nashville Lee won big Hagerty lost Blackburn won both
Knox Knoxville Split Hagerty lost Blackburn won both

Summary: 5 Things to Remember

  1. Thursday is Primary Day — Parties pick nominees for November
  2. Governor’s race is the headline — Blackburn vs. Rose (big money, no Trump endorsement)
  3. Memphis map changed everything — Cohen out, new 9th District leans Republican
  4. Early voting dominates — Most votes already cast; results come fast
  5. Tennessee is deep red — Republican primary ≈ general election for most offices

FAQ: Your Questions Answered

1. "Why does the Republican primary matter more than the general election?"

Because Tennessee hasn’t elected a Democrat statewide in 20 years. In most races, winning the Republican primary is winning the election.

2. "Can I vote in either primary?"

Technically yes — Tennessee doesn’t register by party. But those confusing 2023 signs say you should "declare allegiance." In practice, poll workers rarely challenge anyone.

3. "Why did Steve Cohen retire?"

The new map made his district go from 71% Democratic to 60% Republican. He’d have almost certainly lost.

4. "When will we know winners?"

Most races called by 11 PM ET Thursday. Close races might take a day if early votes need verifying.

5. "What about the Senate race — is Hagerty safe?"

Yes. He’s unopposed in the primary, and no Democrat has won a Senate seat here since 1990 (Al Gore).


Source: Associated Press reporting by Robert Yoon. All vote totals, dates, and candidate info preserved from original reporting.

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