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1Imagine Netflix as the kid who always won the playground game of "who has the most friends." It has more than 325 million subscribers around the world. That’s like if everyone in a huge country all paid to watch movies and shows!
Some of its super-popular shows include:
For a while, Netflix told its investors (the people who put money into the company) that it wanted to get even bigger by acquiring (buying) a company called Warner Bros. Discovery. This would have been a massive deal that changed Hollywood.
But in February, Netflix passed (said no thanks) on buying Warner Bros. Discovery. Instead, another company called Paramount scooped it up.
Important Point: After saying no to that big purchase, investors started asking Netflix, “What’s your plan to stay on top?”
Because investors are nervous, Netflix’s stock price (the cost of one tiny piece of the company) has dropped:
Ross Benes, an analyst (a person who studies companies) at eMarketer, said Netflix’s business is successful and most of its money comes from subscriptions (people paying monthly). But investors always want more growth.
Part of the worry is that in the U.S., Netflix’s share of TV watching time has slowly gone down. A company called Nielsen counts this stuff.
Here’s what they found:
Some investors fear:
Even with the worry, experts think Netflix will have a strong second quarter:
Why? Advertising is growing, and new shows like the crime series I Will Find You are popular. Netflix will share its earnings results on Thursday. (The company didn’t comment for this story.)
Netflix also says:
Netflix’s key priorities include:
In its April letter to shareholders, Netflix said:
“A measure of our performance is engagement, which is not just the quantity of hours watched, but also the quality of that experience for our audiences.”
It also said it has:
The last big scare was in 2022, when Netflix lost subscribers. Back then it started:
Last year, Netflix made over $1.5 billion from ads and expects about $3 billion this year.
Jessica Reif Ehrlich, an analyst at BofA Securities, says: “We believe this is a long-term growth company.”
Netflix is adding live programming:
But some say Netflix needs more live sports to attract big sports fans.
Netflix is also:
Benes says these help keep subscribers from canceling: “Let’s say I get in the habit of watching all these video podcasts on Netflix… I might say, ‘Oh, I don’t know if I want to cancel it.’”
Some analysts think Netflix should buy another company after skipping Warner Bros.
Comcast announced it will spin off (separate) NBCUniversal, which owns Minions and Jurassic Park. Reif Ehrlich said buying it “makes a ton of sense” because of its strong film and TV library.
Netflix is also thinking about:
It already launched TF1 live channels in France with great success (hit 18-month goals in under 3 weeks).
Important Point: Netflix once said no to ads, sports, and movie theater releases — and later did all of them. So its future moves are wide open!
Netflix is still the world’s biggest streaming service with 325M+ subscribers and hit shows. But its stock is down because it passed on buying Warner Bros., U.S. viewing share slipped as YouTube grew, and investors want more growth. Still, experts see strong earnings, low cancellations, and big plans in ads, live sports, podcasts, and maybe new buys like NBCUniversal. Netflix keeps evolving — anything is possible.
1. Why did Netflix’s stock go down this year?
Because it didn’t buy Warner Bros. Discovery, its U.S. viewing share dropped a bit, and investors are unsure how it will keep growing. The stock is down 21% this year and 42% from last year.
2. What is “churn rate”?
It’s how many people cancel the service. Netflix says its churn rate is low, meaning few people leave compared to other streaming apps.
3. How is Netflix trying to keep viewers?
By adding live sports (NFL, MLB), video podcasts, short videos, games, and maybe live channels or bundles. It also grew its ads business.
4. Could Netflix buy NBCUniversal?
Some analysts think it makes sense because NBCUniversal owns popular movies and shows. But nothing is confirmed.
5. Is Netflix still making money?
Yes! Analysts expect revenue of $12.58B and profit near $3.38B for the second quarter, with ad growth and new shows helping.