Houston’s Weather This Weekend: Rain, Possible Flooding, and Calm Oceans

Live Houston-area radar. (FOX 26 Houston)

What’s Happening Overall?

Imagine the sky is a sponge soaking up water from the nearby Gulf of Mexico (a big warm sea to our south). That wet sponge is being squeezed over Houston this weekend.

• More clouds will hang around.
• Higher rain chances means it’s more likely to get wet.
• The wet air is “deeper” (meaning there’s a lot of it), so expect on-and-off crying from the sky.

Important: “Deeper Gulf moisture” simply means extra wet air is flowing in, making rain more likely from Saturday onward.

Tropical Moisture Moves In

Scattered showers (little rains that pop up here and there) will visit Houston late Saturday morning. By the afternoon, a few lonely thunderstorms (rain with lightning and loud rumbles) may join the party.

Step-by-Step Weather Timeline (Easy to Follow)

1. Saturday late morning – Scattered showers arrive.
2. Saturday afternoon – Isolated thunderstorms may appear.
3. Sunday – Showers and storms stick around; small flood risk (see below).
4. Monday – Heaviest rain likely; bigger flood risk.
5. Tuesday – Rounds of storms continue, then things slowly calm.

FOX 26 meteorologist Allison Gargaro made a video called “Houston weather: July 11 morning forecast.” It says:

“Scattered showers move into Houston late Saturday morning and bring isolated thunderstorms through the afternoon. Those showers and storms stick around through early next week and bring a chance of street flooding.”

You can watch it here: Houston weather video

Flood Threat Increases

Because showers and thunderstorms act like repeat guests from Saturday through Tuesday, street flooding (water covering roads like a shallow pool) is possible.

• Rain won’t fall every single second.
• But repeated heavy downpours (like someone dumping buckets) could flood certain streets.

Scientists use computer “models” (smart guessing machines) to predict rain. Here’s the simple risk scale (1 = lowest, 4 = highest):

• Highest heavy-rain risk: Monday.
• Sunday: 1 out of 4 chance of street flooding.
• Monday: 2 out of 4 chance of street flooding (a bit higher, so be careful).

Important: Even a 1-out-of-4 risk means some roads could become mini-rivers. Never drive into water if you can’t see the road underneath!

Tropics Quiet for Now

The “tropics” are warm ocean parts where big spinning storms (like hurricanes) are born. Right now, they are taking a nap. Why?

• El Niño: A natural ocean-weather pattern that makes it harder for storms to grow.
• Saharan dust: Tiny dirt from the Sahara Desert (far across the world) that flies over and dries the air.
• Wind shear: Wind that blows at different speeds up high, acting like scissors that cut storm clouds apart.
• Dry, dusty air: Not friendly to baby storms.

Because of all this, the National Hurricane Center says the Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of America will stay quiet for the next 7 days.

But don’t forget:

• Hurricane season peak is September 10.
• Season ends at the end of November.
• So stay alert even when the ocean seems sleepy.

Important: Quiet now does NOT mean safe forever. Mark September 10 on your calendar and keep listening to weather news later.

Houston 7 Day Forecast

Here is the 7-day forecast picture shared by FOX 26:

Summary

• Extra wet air from the Gulf brings more clouds and rain this weekend.
• Showers start Saturday late morning, thunderstorms in the afternoon, lasting through early next week.
• Street flooding possible, especially Monday (risk level 2 out of 4).
• Tropics are calm due to El Niño and desert dust, but hurricane peak is Sept 10, season ends Nov 30.
• All info comes from FOX 26 meteorologist Allison Gargaro.

FAQ

Q1: What is “street flooding” in kid words?
A: It’s when so much rain falls that the roads fill with water like a puddle you can’t see the bottom of, making cars stuck or unsafe.

Q2: What does “isolated thunderstorms” mean?
A: Only a few storms in certain spots—like one kid having a tantrum in a playground while the rest play dry.

Q3: What is El Niño, simply?
A: A natural change in the ocean that can make the air unfriendly for hurricanes, often keeping them away.

Q4: Why is the ocean quiet now but not later?
A: Right now dust and wind cut storms apart, but hurricane season heats up to a peak on September 10 and runs until late November.

Q5: Who gave this weather information?
A: FOX 26 meteorologist Allison Gargaro provided the details, and the National Hurricane Center supplied the tropical outlook.